Arabi 2-2 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒15:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 18%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.01/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.61
+13% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Safa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Arabi 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
14.09.2023 Al Safa Al Safa 0-3 HT 0-0 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
2-2
AWAY Al Safa
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi and Al Safa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arabi had 62% of the ball to Al Safa's 38%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arabi and 0.50 for Al Safa.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Safa?

Arabi 2-2 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arabi 50%, draw 23%, Al Safa 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ BTTS No
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