Jerba 0-2 Sfax Railways — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 5 Jan 2025

Jerba
0-2
Sfax Railways
📅05/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

Jerba vs Sfax Railways Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.67
No
72%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
53%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
28%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
36%
Draw
32%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
28%
BTTS Yes
33%
-5.2pp
72%
BTTS No
67%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jerba v Sfax Railways — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerba EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.83/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0

Jerba 0-2 Sfax Railways — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jerba
0-2
AWAY Sfax Railways
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jerba vs Sfax Railways
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sfax Railways saw off Jerba 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 26%) promised a tight game; Sfax Railways found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (72%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jerba had 57% of the ball to Sfax Railways's 43%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Jerba vs Sfax Railways?

Jerba 0-2 Sfax Railways in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerba vs Sfax Railways?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jerba 38%, draw 36%, Sfax Railways 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jerba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jerba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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