Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 Stade Gabesien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 21%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.88
+12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
1-0
AWAY Stade Gabesien
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Gabesien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer squeezed past Stade Gabesien 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer had 60% of the ball to Stade Gabesien's 40%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Gabesien?

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 Stade Gabesien in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Gabesien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 52%, draw 32%, Stade Gabesien 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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