Burnley U21 1-1 Fulham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
4.0
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.2pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
242 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Fulham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 and Fulham U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fulham U21 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Fulham U21?

Burnley U21 1-1 Fulham U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Fulham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 22%, draw 22%, Fulham U21 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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