Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 40%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.55 xG 1.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 514
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSRTK
10.01.2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Haifa
2-0
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.64 xG 0.86
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
200 Passes 470
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa got the better of Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Maccabi Haifa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maccabi Haifa had 34% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 66%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.64 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Haifa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maccabi Haifa and 0.00 for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What was the final score of Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Haifa 37%, draw 26%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ BTTS Yes
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