Godoy Cruz 1-0 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.06
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
7%
6.64
X/X
14%
3.64
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
17%
5.64
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.44/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.24
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.7 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lanus
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 Passes 310
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-2 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
18.04.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 4-4 HT 3-4 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.07.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 2-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
14.07.2022 Lanus Lanus 1-3 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJK
25.04.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.08.2021 Lanus Lanus 3-1 HT 2-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
1-0
AWAY Lanus
1.42 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
251 Passes 170
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz nicked a narrow win over Lanus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Godoy Cruz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 56% of the ball to Lanus's 44%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.42 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Godoy Cruz and 2.00 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Lanus?

Godoy Cruz 1-0 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 40%, draw 30%, Lanus 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Godoy Cruz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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