Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Al Hala Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.40/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.99
-16% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAHKK
13.03.2023 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.12.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
21.04.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
13.01.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
07.08.2020 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1-2
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Al Hala Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hala Muharraq squeezed past Al Ahli Manama 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Manama at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 54% of the ball to Al Hala Muharraq's 46%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 0.33 for Al Hala Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Al Ahli Manama 1-2 Al Hala Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 43%, draw 26%, Al Hala Muharraq 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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