Al Najma 4-2 Al Hadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 5 Feb 2024

Al Najma
4-2 HT 0-1
Al Hadd
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Al Hadd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.52
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 33% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.5pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Al Hadd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.28/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.28
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Al Najma vs Al Hadd Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Hadd
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
16.09.2021 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
30.04.2021 Al Hadd Al Hadd 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
09.12.2020 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
14.08.2020 Al Najma Al Najma 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Hadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma beat Al Hadd 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Najma and 1.60 for Al Hadd.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Hadd?

Al Najma 4-2 Al Hadd in the Bahrain - Premier League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Hadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 33%, draw 28%, Al Hadd 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Hadd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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