Ituano 0-0 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A1, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ituano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.19
+13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.1 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ituano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
249 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Ituano Ituano 1-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
07.06.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-0 Ituano Ituano BR2
09.02.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-3 HT 1-2 Ituano Ituano BREPAU
01.04.2022 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-3 HT 0-1 Ituano Ituano BRPL1
25.09.2021 Ituano Ituano 0-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRE3
25.07.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-1 HT 0-1 Ituano Ituano BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ituano
0-0
AWAY Botafogo SP
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
294 Passes 236
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Ituano vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ituano and Botafogo SP fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ituano had 54% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 46%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ituano and 0.83 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Ituano vs Botafogo SP?

Ituano 0-0 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ituano vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ituano 39%, draw 31%, Botafogo SP 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ituano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ituano) ✓ Under 2.5
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BREPAU More Brazil - Paulista A1
5 Feb 2024
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