Santos 2-0 Guarani FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A1, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
37%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.20/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.82
-2% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
18.3 Crosses 19.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Guarani FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
428 Passes 280
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
06.02.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
28.01.2020 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
19.02.2019 Santos Santos 3-0 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
16.03.2013 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
13.05.2012 Santos Santos 4-2 HT 2-2 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
2-0
AWAY Guarani FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
359 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Santos vs Guarani FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos beat Guarani FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Santos had 55% of the ball to Guarani FC's 45%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santos and 1.17 for Guarani FC.

What was the final score of Santos vs Guarani FC?

Santos 2-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Guarani FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santos 42%, draw 30%, Guarani FC 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BREPAU More Brazil - Paulista A1
5 Feb 2024
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