Achuapa 0-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 Feb 2024

Achuapa
0-1 HT 0-0
Guastatoya
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Achuapa vs Guastatoya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Achuapa v Guastatoya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.37/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.22
+7% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Achuapa vs Guastatoya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
16.04.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 2-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
19.02.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-0 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
16.11.2022 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
04.09.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya squeezed past Achuapa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Achuapa and 1.83 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Guastatoya?

Achuapa 0-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 48%, draw 25%, Guastatoya 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Achuapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
5 Feb 2024
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