Aalborg 1-3 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
28%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
44%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
79%
-25.5pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.0pp
28%
Away Win
8%
+19.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas The Market 11%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+134% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
530 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
1-3
AWAY FC Dallas
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas saw off Aalborg 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aalborg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aalborg had 46% of the ball to FC Dallas's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs FC Dallas?

Aalborg 1-3 FC Dallas in the Friendlies on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 54%, draw 18%, FC Dallas 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aalborg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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