Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.63
Over Pick
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.68
2-3
33%
2.02
4-5
28%
2.6
6+
15%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
67%
-16.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC The Market 17%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.65/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+33% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY Al Duhail SC
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg saw off Al Duhail SC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 63% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 37%, shots finished 10-1.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Al Duhail SC?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Al Duhail SC in the Friendlies on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 50%, draw 23%, Al Duhail SC 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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