AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v Roda — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
2-2
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II edged past Roda 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Roda at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 43% of the ball to Roda's 57%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.23 — on chances, Roda could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.33 for Roda.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda?
AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 35%, draw 24%, Roda 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 went the other way.