Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Monarcas Morelia — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
2-2
HT 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos edged past Monarcas Morelia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Tepatitlán de Morelos made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 0.83 for Monarcas Morelia.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Monarcas Morelia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 37%, draw 25%, Monarcas Morelia 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Under 2.5 went the other way.