Venados 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.51
+21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
05.10.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
11.02.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-1 Venados Venados MEK2
08.09.2022 Venados Venados 0-1 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
16.03.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
20.10.2021 Venados Venados 3-1 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
01.04.2021 Venados Venados 2-3 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados edged past Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venados and 1.67 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Venados vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Venados 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Venados 44%, draw 26%, Mineros de Zacatecas 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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