Atlas 3-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.13
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
14%
5.09
X/2
9%
6.65
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.6
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.19/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.48
-34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.0 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.01.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
01.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
07.02.2022 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
19.08.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
07.02.2021 Atlas Atlas 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
3-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.99 xG 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
352 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas swept aside Santos Laguna 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlas as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atlas had 51% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 49%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.99 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atlas and 1.00 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Santos Laguna?

Atlas 3-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atlas 43%, draw 26%, Santos Laguna 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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