Atletico San Luis 0-2 Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.68
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
14%
5.53
X/2
15%
5.71
X/X
10%
4.28
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.85
2/X
8%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.24/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.10
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.1 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guadalajara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 0.99
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
198 Passes 416
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
14.01.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
10.07.2022 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.03.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-2 HT 2-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
25.07.2021 Guadalajara Guadalajara 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
22.01.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-1 HT 2-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
0-2
AWAY Guadalajara
0.51 xG 2.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
456 Passes 351
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara saw off Atletico San Luis 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Guadalajara made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 55% of the ball to Guadalajara's 45%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.51 to 2.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.17 for Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara?

Atletico San Luis 0-2 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 34%, draw 25%, Guadalajara 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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