Fiorentina U20 2-2 Cagliari U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-58% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cagliari U20
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.12.2024 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
2-2
AWAY Cagliari U20
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Cagliari U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 and Cagliari U20 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 59% of the ball to Cagliari U20's 41%, shots finished 17-12.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Fiorentina U20 2-2 Cagliari U20 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Cagliari U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 53%, draw 24%, Cagliari U20 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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