USM Alger 3-0 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 5 Feb 2025

USM Alger
3-0 HT 1-0
USM Khenchela
📅05/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

USM Alger vs USM Khenchela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.67
No
57%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.0pp
57%
BTTS No
67%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

USM Alger v USM Khenchela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.67/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.57
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

USM Alger vs USM Khenchela Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
3W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.02.2024 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
14.10.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
13.04.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
02.09.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger ran out comfortable winners over USM Khenchela 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for USM Alger and 0.25 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs USM Khenchela?

USM Alger 3-0 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 55%, draw 24%, USM Khenchela 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ BTTS No
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