Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-13.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 61%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.56/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.90
+22% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
210 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
12.4 Crosses 23.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.60 xG 2.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
256 Passes 466
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
14.04.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
17.12.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
03.09.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-6 HT 2-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
19.03.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.01.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2-2
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.72 xG 2.64
23% Ball Possession 77%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
148 Passes 674
66% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 39
3 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE and Ferencvaros shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 23% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 77%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.72 to 2.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 2.50 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?

Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 27%, draw 29%, Ferencvaros 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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