Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.76
No
40%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
52%
Away Win
63%
-11.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.7pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 67%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
0.24/4.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.86
+25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
215 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
14.0 Crosses 18.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.17 xG 4.07
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
254 Passes 392
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 48
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
03.09.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-6 HT 2-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
19.03.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.01.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
30.10.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
04.05.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 5-3 HT 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2-3
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.21 xG 1.86
34% Ball Possession 66%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
264 Passes 574
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros squeezed past Zalaegerszegi TE 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 34% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 66%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.21 to 1.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 3.00 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?

Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 24%, draw 25%, Ferencvaros 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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