MTK Budapest 1-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.74/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.95
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
13.8 Crosses 22.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
330 Passes 466
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-3 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.09.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
13.03.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 4-2 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
12.09.2022 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC2
05.03.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
13.12.2020 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1-1
AWAY Diosgyor
0.54 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
320 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest and Diosgyor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 47% of the ball to Diosgyor's 53%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.54 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.50 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor?

MTK Budapest 1-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 44%, draw 26%, Diosgyor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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