Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
10%
+13.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -85%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
18.08.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 3-1 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1-2
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans squeezed past Zabbar St. Patrick 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 46% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 54%, shots finished 2-3.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans?

Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - FA Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 23%, draw 21%, Hamrun Spartans 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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