Hamrun Spartans 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
35%
4.08
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
60%
-14.1pp
35%
Draw
21%
+13.4pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
469 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
3-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans saw off Zabbar St. Patrick 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 62% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 38%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Hamrun Spartans 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 45%, draw 35%, Zabbar St. Patrick 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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