Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 34%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
0.68/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.38
-45% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
03.12.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-4 HT 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
25.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTAK
22.01.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
04.09.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0-1
AWAY Gzira United
41% Ball Possession 59%
1 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Marsaxlokk FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Gzira United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 41% of the ball to Gzira United's 59%, shots finished 1-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 1.40 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 32%, draw 33%, Gzira United 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5
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