Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 40%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.68/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
-32% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-4 HT 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
25.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTAK
22.01.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
04.09.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-1
AWAY Gzira United
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC and Gzira United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 49% of the ball to Gzira United's 51%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 1.50 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 33%, draw 30%, Gzira United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gzira United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5
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6 Apr 2024
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