Valletta 0-2 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 66%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.75/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.11
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Floriana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
29.01.2023 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
10.09.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
17.01.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
0-2
AWAY Floriana
52% Ball Possession 48%
1 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valletta vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana got the better of Valletta 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valletta had 52% of the ball to Floriana's 48%, shots finished 1-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Valletta and 1.00 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Valletta vs Floriana?

Valletta 0-2 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valletta 23%, draw 25%, Floriana 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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