Kolombiya U20 4-0 Paraguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya U20 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 16%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.26/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.46
-11% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.3 Crosses 13.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya U20
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Paraguay U20
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.62 xG 0.85
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
434 Passes 216
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 3-0 HT 2-0 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
20.01.2023 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 1-1 HT 0-1 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
27.01.2015 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya U20
4-0
AWAY Paraguay U20
1.36 xG 0.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
279 Passes 216
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolombiya U20 vs Paraguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya U20 ran out comfortable winners over Paraguay U20 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kolombiya U20 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Kolombiya U20 had 55% of the ball to Paraguay U20's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kolombiya U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kolombiya U20 and 0.33 for Paraguay U20.

What was the final score of Kolombiya U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Kolombiya U20 4-0 Paraguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya U20 60%, draw 23%, Paraguay U20 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya U20), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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