Uruguay U20 0-1 Brezilya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 5 Feb 2025

Uruguay U20
0-1 HT 0-0
Brezilya U20
📅05/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sudamericano U20 – 2025

Uruguay U20 vs Brezilya U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.71
Over 2.5
34%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.85
No
63%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 38% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
55%
+11.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
45%
-11.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
50%
-13.2pp
63%
BTTS No
50%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uruguay U20 v Brezilya U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay U20 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya U20 EU Bookmakers 33%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-45% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Uruguay U20 vs Brezilya U20 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay U20
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Brezilya U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.68 xG 1.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
154 Passes 309
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.02.2023 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 2-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 SUD20
04.02.2019 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 2-3 HT 0-0 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 SUD20
11.06.2015 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 DK20
27.01.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 SUD20
18.01.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 2-0 HT 1-0 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 SUD20

Uruguay U20 0-1 Brezilya U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay U20
0-1
AWAY Brezilya U20
0.95 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
248 Passes 229
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uruguay U20 vs Brezilya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya U20 nicked a narrow win over Uruguay U20 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uruguay U20 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Uruguay U20 had 52% of the ball to Brezilya U20's 48%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.95 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uruguay U20 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uruguay U20 and 0.80 for Brezilya U20.

What was the final score of Uruguay U20 vs Brezilya U20?

Uruguay U20 0-1 Brezilya U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay U20 vs Brezilya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Uruguay U20 42%, draw 29%, Brezilya U20 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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