Wadi Degla 0-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.66
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
34%
-4.5pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.94/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.10
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.6 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 0.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
325 Passes 255
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR2
15.12.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR2
22.04.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-0 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
16.12.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
07.09.2020 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
16.12.2019 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
0-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.32 xG 0.38
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 106
80% Pass Accuracy 55%
27 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon edged past Wadi Degla 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Mokawloon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 69% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 31%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.32 to 0.38 — on chances, Wadi Degla could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wadi Degla and 0.67 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs Al Mokawloon?

Wadi Degla 0-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 33%, draw 30%, Al Mokawloon 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mokawloon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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