Ceramica Cleopatra 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.47
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.77/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.37
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
17.7 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.08 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2026 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRLK
26.01.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
14.05.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
03.01.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
26.07.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
22.02.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
3-2
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceramica Cleopatra nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ceramica Cleopatra as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 58% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 42%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 0.17 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Ceramica Cleopatra 3-2 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 58%, draw 22%, Ghazl El Mehalla 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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