Stranraer 5-0 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.60/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.34
+31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
24.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
30.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
06.05.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-1 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.03.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
05.11.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
20.09.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 3-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer swept aside Dumbarton 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stranraer and 2.00 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Dumbarton?

Stranraer 5-0 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 32%, draw 24%, Dumbarton 45%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dumbarton), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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