Hapoel Nazareth Illit 3-1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - State Cup, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Nazareth Illit EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Rishon LeZion EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Rishon LeZion
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
22.12.2023 Hapoel Nazareth Illit 0-2 HT 0-1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion Hapoel Rishon LeZion İSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Nazareth Illit
3-1
AWAY Hapoel Rishon LeZion
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Nazareth Illit saw off Hapoel Rishon LeZion 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Hapoel Nazareth Illit made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Nazareth Illit had 48% of the ball to Hapoel Rishon LeZion's 52%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit 3-1 Hapoel Rishon LeZion in the Israel - State Cup on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Nazareth Illit win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Nazareth Illit 39%, draw 30%, Hapoel Rishon LeZion 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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