Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - State Cup, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
326 Passes 241
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2024 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 2-1 HT 1-1 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem İSR
23.09.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 1-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
2-1
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Netanya nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maccabi Netanya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 52% of the ball to Hapoel Jerusalem's 48%, shots finished 10-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Netanya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maccabi Netanya and 1.00 for Hapoel Jerusalem.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Jerusalem in the Israel - State Cup on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 46%, draw 26%, Hapoel Jerusalem 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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