Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 30%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.93/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.20
-24% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
14.5 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.61 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
331 Passes 214
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Jerusalem 1-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
2-1
AWAY Hapoel Jerusalem
1.57 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
322 Passes 268
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Netanya edged past Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Maccabi Netanya made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 53% of the ball to Hapoel Jerusalem's 47%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.57 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 39%, draw 28%, Hapoel Jerusalem 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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