Hapoel Haifa 2-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.88
No
39%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.66
6+ Goals
13%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 24% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.5pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.74/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.12
-41% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +108%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
9.0 Crosses 13.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Haifa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
330 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 1-2 HT 1-2 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
02.08.2023 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 2-1 HT 0-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Haifa
2-0
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
2.25 xG 0.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 Passes 334
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Eran Hadera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Haifa saw off Hapoel Eran Hadera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hapoel Haifa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Haifa had 52% of the ball to Hapoel Eran Hadera's 48%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.25 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Haifa and 1.50 for Hapoel Eran Hadera.

What was the final score of Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Hapoel Haifa 2-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Haifa 47%, draw 31%, Hapoel Eran Hadera 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Haifa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Haifa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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