Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.19
No
70%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
47%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
30%
BTTS Yes
42%
-11.3pp
70%
BTTS No
58%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.01
+42% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.3 Crosses 13.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.56
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
457 Passes 146
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 6
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Beer Sheva
2-0
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.51 xG 0.08
80% Ball Possession 20%
23 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
569 Passes 88
89% Pass Accuracy 53%
37 Box Touches 4
36 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Beer Sheva got the better of Hapoel Petah Tikva 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.

On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 80% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 20%, shots finished 23-2, expected goals 1.51 to 0.08.

What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 67%, draw 19%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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