Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 5 Mar 2024

Al Hilal Riyadh
2-0 HT 2-0
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2023/2024

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
18%
3.83
X/2
9%
12.5
X/X
11%
6.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.6
2/2
7%
9.05
2/X
8%
16.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.10
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -34%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
16.7 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
451 Passes 284
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-4 HT 3-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
23.04.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK
05.01.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
23.05.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2-0
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.53 xG 0.48
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
521 Passes 204
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh got the better of Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 67% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 33%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.53 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.17 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 53%, draw 25%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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