Lobos UPNFM 0-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.56/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.48
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
18.10.2023 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
20.08.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and Genesis PN fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 0.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis PN?

Lobos UPNFM 0-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 41%, draw 23%, Genesis PN 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✓ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
5 Mar 2024
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