Real Espana 2-3 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.5pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 22%
+12% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
2.07/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.09
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
14.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.04.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.01.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-3 HT 1-2 Real Espana Real Espana HON
08.10.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad squeezed past Real Espana 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Espana and 1.33 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad?

Real Espana 2-3 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 50%, draw 28%, CD Real Sociedad 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Espana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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