05/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Karbala vs Zakho Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
16%
27%
Draw
20%
37%
Away Win
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karbala v Zakho — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Karbala
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zakho
EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
254 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
418 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Karbala vs Zakho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zakho nicked a narrow win over Karbala 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Zakho made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Karbala vs Zakho?
Karbala 0-1 Zakho in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karbala vs Zakho?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zakho win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Karbala 35%, draw 27%, Zakho 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zakho), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Zakho)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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