Al Muaidar 1-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.44
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
Crosses 16.3
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Muaidar
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.30 xG 2.85
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
29.09.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KAT
24.01.2014 Al Ahli Al Ahli 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KAT
POST-MATCH Al Muaidar vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Muaidar and Al Ahli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Muaidar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ahli led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Muaidar and 3.00 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Muaidar vs Al Ahli?

Al Muaidar 1-1 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Muaidar vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Muaidar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Muaidar 43%, draw 25%, Al Ahli 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Muaidar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Muaidar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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