05/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
25%
Draw
29%
29%
Away Win
21%
57%
Under 2.5
65%
43%
Over 2.5
35%
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
57%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dekernes v Nojom El Mostabel — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dekernes
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nojom El Mostabel
EU Bookmakers 24%
+28% /
+28%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-34% /
-34%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/1.49
+19%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
-5%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
360 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
251 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dekernes cruised past Nojom El Mostabel 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dekernes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel?
Dekernes 4-0 Nojom El Mostabel in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dekernes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dekernes 46%, draw 25%, Nojom El Mostabel 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dekernes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dekernes)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
5 Mar 2024