Dekernes 4-0 Nojom El Mostabel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dekernes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojom El Mostabel EU Bookmakers 24%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.49
+19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dekernes cruised past Nojom El Mostabel 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dekernes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel?

Dekernes 4-0 Nojom El Mostabel in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dekernes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dekernes 46%, draw 25%, Nojom El Mostabel 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dekernes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dekernes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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