Gomhoreyat Shepin 2-1 El Nasr Taadeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.6pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomhoreyat Shepin EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY El Nasr Taadeen EU Bookmakers 18%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.74
+85% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomhoreyat Shepin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY El Nasr Taadeen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
18.12.2023 Gomhoreyat Shepin Gomhoreyat Shepin 3-2 HT 3-1 El Nasr Taadeen El Nasr Taadeen MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomhoreyat Shepin
2-1
AWAY El Nasr Taadeen
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gomhoreyat Shepin vs El Nasr Taadeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomhoreyat Shepin nicked a narrow win over El Nasr Taadeen 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gomhoreyat Shepin as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gomhoreyat Shepin had 54% of the ball to El Nasr Taadeen's 46%, shots finished 20-14.

What was the final score of Gomhoreyat Shepin vs El Nasr Taadeen?

Gomhoreyat Shepin 2-1 El Nasr Taadeen in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomhoreyat Shepin vs El Nasr Taadeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomhoreyat Shepin win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gomhoreyat Shepin 55%, draw 27%, El Nasr Taadeen 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomhoreyat Shepin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gomhoreyat Shepin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR2 More Egypt - 2nd Division
5 Mar 2024
16:30 Dekernes vs Nojom El Mostabel Analysis →
16:30 Misr Lel Makasa vs Asyut Petroleum Analysis →
16:30 Abu Qair Semad vs Makadi Analysis →
16:30 Telecom Egypt vs Aswan FC Analysis →