Benfica U23 3-5 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.01
+41% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
3-5
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 got the better of Benfica U23 5-3 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 46% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 54%, shots finished 17-15.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Benfica U23 3-5 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 42%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente U23 32%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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