Famalicao U23 1-3 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.50
+81% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
1-3
AWAY Sporting CP U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 saw off Famalicao U23 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 51% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 49%, shots finished 17-16.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Famalicao U23 1-3 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 34%, draw 25%, Sporting CP U23 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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