Chelsea (K) 3-1 Leicester City WFC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.8pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.51/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.68
+2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +57%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
482 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 76%
42.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
27.5 Crosses 11.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.50 xG 0.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
467 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
60 Box Touches 14
40 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
03.03.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
3-1
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
2.19 xG 0.42
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
488 Passes 212
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
43 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) got the better of Leicester City WFC (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 65% of the ball to Leicester City WFC (K)'s 35%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.19 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.50 for Leicester City WFC (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Chelsea (K) 3-1 Leicester City WFC (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 69%, draw 18%, Leicester City WFC (K) 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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