Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-3 Lion City Sailors FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.7
2-3 Goals
37%
2.27
4-5 Goals
29%
2.28
6+ Goals
14%
3.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.27
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
27.5
X/1
22%
3.97
X/2
6%
29.0
X/X
7%
12.4
2/1 EV+
9%
19.65
2/2
5%
23.4
2/X
4%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
79%
-11.5pp
18%
Draw
12%
+5.8pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +74% / +74%
3.74/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.61
+7% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +61%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
40.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.7 Crosses 5.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-3
AWAY Lion City Sailors FC
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
717 Passes 251
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Lion City Sailors FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lion City Sailors FC swept aside Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 70% of the ball to Lion City Sailors FC's 30%, shots finished 24-4.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-3 Lion City Sailors FC in the AFCŞL2 on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Lion City Sailors FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 68%, draw 18%, Lion City Sailors FC 14%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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