Shabab Al Ahli 1-1 Al Sharjah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.12
6+ Goals
12%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.75
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
7%
7.49
X/X
22%
4.16
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
21%
6.12
2/X
3%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Sharjah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.81 xG 0.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
406 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 3-4 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
29.12.2023 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 6-2 HT 3-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAESK
16.01.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAECK
14.09.2019 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-0 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAESK
12.11.2014 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 4-1 HT 2-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
15.03.2014 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 0-1 HT 0-0 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Ahli
1-1
AWAY Al Sharjah
0.81 xG 0.84
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
301 Passes 165
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
11 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Sharjah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli and Al Sharjah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Shabab Al Ahli had 61% of the ball to Al Sharjah's 39%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.81 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shabab Al Ahli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shabab Al Ahli and 1.50 for Al Sharjah.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Sharjah?

Shabab Al Ahli 1-1 Al Sharjah in the AFCŞL2 on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ahli vs Al Sharjah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ahli 39%, draw 31%, Al Sharjah 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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